Value of Information Formula:
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Value of Information (VOI) is an economic concept that quantifies the benefit of obtaining additional information before making a decision. It represents the maximum amount a decision-maker should be willing to pay for perfect information.
The calculator uses the Value of Information formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the incremental value gained by having perfect information compared to making decisions under uncertainty.
Details: VOI analysis helps organizations determine whether investing in additional research, data collection, or market analysis is economically justified. It's widely used in healthcare, finance, and business strategy.
Tips: Enter both expected values in the same currency units. Positive VOI indicates that obtaining information is valuable, while negative VOI suggests it's not worth the cost.
Q1: What does a positive VOI indicate?
A: A positive VOI means that obtaining additional information would increase the expected value of your decision, making it potentially worthwhile to invest in gathering that information.
Q2: Can VOI be negative?
A: Yes, if EV_with_info is less than EV_without_info, VOI will be negative, indicating that the information would actually decrease expected value.
Q3: What types of decisions benefit from VOI analysis?
A: VOI is particularly useful for high-stakes decisions involving uncertainty, such as drug development, major investments, product launches, and strategic planning.
Q4: How accurate are the expected value estimates?
A: The accuracy depends on the quality of your probability and outcome estimates. VOI analysis is most valuable when there's significant uncertainty about key parameters.
Q5: Does VOI account for the cost of information?
A: This basic calculation gives you the gross value. You would subtract the actual cost of obtaining information to determine the net value.